Projected election results in Ontario

last updated: February 21, 2019 at 18:35 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Ontario vote projections Ontario seat projections
Conservative  Conservative logo 37.5%

 

52

 

New Democrat  New Democrat logo 16.4%

 

15

 

Liberal  Liberal logo 38%

 

54

 

Green  Green logo 6.1%

 

0

 

Other  Other logo 2%

 

0

 

Trend line of all polls published for the region of Ontario

last updated: February 21, 2019 at 18:35 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Ontario riding-by-riding vote projection:

last updated: February 21, 2019 at 18:35 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Riding name: Notional
incumbent
Con. NDP Lib. Bloc Green Other Projected
winner
 
Ajax Lib. 37 8 50 0 4 1 LIB
Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing NDP 26 40 28 0 5 1 NDP
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Lib. 46 6 42 0 5 2 LEANS CON
Barrie—Innisfil Con. 50 12 29 0 7 2 CON
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Con. 46 10 33 0 8 3 CON
Bay of Quinte Lib. 36 12 44 0 5 2 LIB
Beaches—East York Lib. 19 30 43 0 6 2 LIB
Brampton Centre Lib. 34 15 44 0 5 2 LIB
Brampton East Lib. 26 24 45 0 4 1 LIB
Brampton North Lib. 36 16 41 0 5 1 LEANS LIB
Brampton South Lib. 38 11 46 0 5 1 LIB
Brampton West Lib. 32 12 50 0 4 1 LIB
Brantford—Brant Con. 42 24 25 0 6 3 CON
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Con. 50 11 31 0 7 1 CON
Burlington Lib. 46 9 39 0 6 1 CON
Cambridge Lib. 40 14 36 0 7 3 LEANS CON
Carleton Con. 50 6 36 0 7 1 CON
Chatham-Kent—Leamington Con. 44 18 32 0 6 1 CON
Davenport Lib. 12 43 37 0 6 2 LEANS NDP
Don Valley East Lib. 33 10 51 0 6 1 LIB
Don Valley North Lib. 40 9 45 0 5 1 LEANS LIB
Don Valley West Lib. 40 6 48 0 5 2 LIB
Dufferin—Caledon Con. 48 7 33 0 10 1 CON
Durham Con. 49 16 28 0 6 2 CON
Eglinton—Lawrence Lib. 46 6 41 0 4 2 LEANS CON
Elgin—Middlesex—London Con. 52 15 23 0 7 3 CON
Essex NDP 37 41 15 0 5 2 LEANS NDP
Etobicoke Centre Lib. 38 8 48 0 5 2 LIB
Etobicoke North Lib. 25 13 56 0 4 2 LIB
Etobicoke—Lakeshore Lib. 36 10 46 0 5 2 LIB
Flamborough—Glanbrook Con. 47 14 31 0 7 1 CON
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Lib. 39 8 47 0 5 2 LIB
Guelph Lib. 27 12 44 0 14 3 LIB
Haldimand—Norfolk Con. 47 14 28 0 7 4 CON
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Con. 50 19 24 0 7 1 CON
Hamilton Centre NDP 16 45 25 0 8 5 NDP
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Lib. 27 32 33 0 6 2 LEANS LIB
Hamilton Mountain NDP 27 36 28 0 6 4 NDP
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas Lib. 34 17 41 0 8 1 LEANS LIB
Hastings—Lennox and Addington Lib. 46 12 35 0 6 1 CON
Humber River—Black Creek Lib. 23 11 60 0 4 2 LIB
Huron—Bruce Con. 48 12 33 0 6 1 CON
Kanata—Carleton Lib. 40 7 46 0 6 1 LEANS LIB
Kenora Lib. 30 35 28 0 5 2 LEANS NDP
Kingston and the Islands Lib. 26 17 49 0 8 2 LIB
King—Vaughan Lib. 47 7 41 0 5 1 LEANS CON
Kitchener Centre Lib. 32 16 42 0 7 3 LIB
Kitchener South—Hespeler Lib. 37 15 37 0 7 3 TOSS-UP
Kitchener—Conestoga Con. 47 10 34 0 6 3 CON
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Con. 55 16 22 0 6 1 CON
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston Con. 51 14 26 0 7 2 CON
Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes Con. 50 8 33 0 8 1 CON
London North Centre Lib. 32 14 45 0 7 2 LIB
London West Lib. 37 15 39 0 6 3 LEANS LIB
London—Fanshawe NDP 30 38 24 0 6 2 NDP
Markham—Stouffville Lib. 45 6 43 0 5 1 LEANS CON
Markham—Thornhill Lib. 35 10 50 0 4 1 LIB
Markham—Unionville Con. 51 5 37 0 5 1 CON
Milton Con. 49 11 32 0 5 2 CON
Mississauga Centre Lib. 37 9 48 0 5 1 LIB
Mississauga East—Cooksville Lib. 38 9 48 0 4 1 LIB
Mississauga—Erin Mills Lib. 41 9 44 0 5 1 LEANS LIB
Mississauga—Lakeshore Lib. 42 8 43 0 6 2 LEANS LIB
Mississauga—Malton Lib. 28 13 52 0 5 2 LIB
Mississauga—Streetsville Lib. 44 9 40 0 5 2 LEANS CON
Nepean Lib. 38 8 46 0 5 3 LIB
Newmarket—Aurora Lib. 44 8 39 0 6 3 LEANS CON
Niagara Centre Lib. 31 31 31 0 6 2 TOSS-UP
Niagara Falls Con. 45 21 26 0 6 1 CON
Niagara West Con. 52 10 24 0 6 8 CON
Nickel Belt Lib. 19 38 36 0 6 1 LEANS NDP
Nipissing—Timiskaming Lib. 31 16 46 0 6 1 LIB
Northumberland—Peterborough South Lib. 40 15 38 0 6 1 LEANS CON
Oakville Lib. 45 6 42 0 5 1 LEANS CON
Oakville North—Burlington Lib. 47 7 39 0 5 3 CON
Orléans Lib. 33 8 54 0 5 1 LIB
Oshawa Con. 41 30 21 0 6 2 CON
Ottawa Centre Lib. 16 38 37 0 6 3 TOSS-UP
Ottawa South Lib. 26 12 53 0 6 3 LIB
Ottawa West—Nepean Lib. 33 9 48 0 6 3 LIB
Ottawa—Vanier Lib. 21 19 50 0 7 3 LIB
Oxford Con. 48 16 26 0 7 3 CON
Parkdale—High Park Lib. 15 39 37 0 6 3 LEANS NDP
Parry Sound—Muskoka Con. 46 10 30 0 11 2 CON
Perth—Wellington Con. 47 14 29 0 6 4 CON
Peterborough—Kawartha Lib. 37 19 37 0 5 1 TOSS-UP
Pickering—Uxbridge Lib. 40 9 44 0 6 1 LEANS LIB
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Con. 46 8 26 0 5 15 CON
Richmond Hill Lib. 46 8 40 0 5 1 LEANS CON
Sarnia—Lambton Con. 44 30 20 0 6 1 CON
Sault Ste. Marie Lib. 34 22 38 0 5 1 LEANS LIB
Scarborough Centre Lib. 35 11 44 0 5 4 LIB
Scarborough North Lib. 28 22 43 0 5 2 LIB
Scarborough Southwest Lib. 23 25 46 0 6 1 LIB
Scarborough—Agincourt Lib. 41 7 44 0 4 2 LEANS LIB
Scarborough—Guildwood Lib. 29 11 53 0 4 2 LIB
Scarborough—Rouge Park Lib. 30 10 54 0 5 1 LIB
Simcoe North Con. 45 10 34 0 8 3 CON
Simcoe—Grey Con. 50 10 30 0 8 2 CON
Spadina—Fort York Lib. 18 27 48 0 5 1 LIB
St. Catharines Lib. 40 17 37 0 6 1 LEANS CON
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry Con. 54 8 32 0 5 1 CON
Sudbury Lib. 22 27 42 0 6 2 LIB
Thornhill Con. 62 5 26 0 4 3 CON
Thunder Bay—Rainy River Lib. 24 29 38 0 9 1 LIB
Thunder Bay—Superior North Lib. 18 22 36 0 22 2 LIB
Timmins—James Bay NDP 22 43 28 0 5 1 NDP
Toronto Centre Lib. 14 26 52 0 6 2 LIB
Toronto—Danforth Lib. 11 41 35 0 8 4 LEANS NDP
Toronto—St. Paul’s Lib. 30 14 49 0 6 1 LIB
University—Rosedale Lib. 20 28 43 0 6 3 LIB
Vaughan—Woodbridge Lib. 46 4 43 0 4 3 LEANS CON
Waterloo Lib. 33 15 45 0 6 2 LIB
Wellington—Halton Hills Con. 54 8 28 0 7 2 CON
Whitby Lib. 46 10 38 0 5 2 CON
Willowdale Lib. 39 7 47 0 5 2 LIB
Windsor West NDP 23 51 19 0 6 2 NDP
Windsor—Tecumseh NDP 28 44 21 0 5 2 NDP
York Centre Lib. 47 8 40 0 5 1 CON
York South—Weston Lib. 22 29 39 0 5 5 LIB
York—Simcoe Con. 54 9 30 0 7 1 CON

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