Projected election results in Ontario

last updated: Thursday, August 15, 2019 at 21:25 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Ontario vote projections Ontario seat projections
Conservative  Conservative logo 33.1%

 

43

 

New Democrat  New Democrat logo 15.5%

 

13

 

Liberal  Liberal logo 37.6%

 

65

 

Green  Green logo 10.1%

 

0

 

Other  Other logo 3.6%

 

0

 

Trend line of all polls published for the region of Ontario

last updated: Thursday, August 15, 2019 at 21:25 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Ontario riding-by-riding vote projection:

last updated: Thursday, August 15, 2019 at 21:25 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Riding name: Notional
incumbent
Con. NDP Lib. Bloc Green Other Projected
winner
 
Ajax Lib. 33 8 50 0 7 2 LIB
Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing NDP 22 39 28 0 9 2 NDP
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Lib. 41 5 42 0 8 3 LEANS LIB
Barrie—Innisfil Con. 45 11 28 0 12 4 CON
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Con. 41 9 32 0 12 5 CON
Bay of Quinte Lib. 32 11 44 0 9 4 LIB
Beaches—East York Lib. 14 29 43 0 10 4 LIB
Brampton Centre Lib. 30 14 43 0 9 3 LIB
Brampton East Lib. 22 23 45 0 8 2 LIB
Brampton North Lib. 33 15 41 0 9 2 LIB
Brampton South Lib. 34 10 46 0 9 1 LIB
Brampton West Lib. 28 11 50 0 8 2 LIB
Brantford—Brant Con. 38 23 25 0 10 4 CON
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Con. 46 11 30 0 11 2 CON
Burlington Lib. 42 8 39 0 9 1 LEANS CON
Cambridge Lib. 36 13 35 0 11 5 TOSS-UP
Carleton Con. 45 5 36 0 12 2 CON
Chatham-Kent—Leamington Con. 39 17 32 0 10 2 CON
Davenport Lib. 9 41 36 0 10 4 LEANS NDP
Don Valley East Lib. 29 9 51 0 10 1 LIB
Don Valley North Lib. 36 8 45 0 9 1 LIB
Don Valley West Lib. 36 5 47 0 8 4 LIB
Dufferin—Caledon Con. 44 7 33 0 15 2 CON
Durham Con. 44 16 27 0 10 4 CON
Eglinton—Lawrence Lib. 42 5 41 0 8 4 TOSS-UP
Elgin—Middlesex—London Con. 47 14 22 0 11 6 CON
Essex NDP 33 40 15 0 8 3 LEANS NDP
Etobicoke Centre Lib. 34 7 47 0 8 4 LIB
Etobicoke North Lib. 21 12 55 0 8 4 LIB
Etobicoke—Lakeshore Lib. 32 10 46 0 9 4 LIB
Flamborough—Glanbrook Con. 43 13 31 0 12 1 CON
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Lib. 34 7 47 0 8 4 LIB
Guelph Lib. 23 11 43 0 18 5 LIB
Haldimand—Norfolk Con. 43 13 28 0 11 6 CON
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Con. 46 18 24 0 11 1 CON
Hamilton Centre NDP 12 43 24 0 13 8 NDP
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Lib. 23 31 33 0 10 4 LEANS LIB
Hamilton Mountain NDP 22 34 27 0 9 6 NDP
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas Lib. 30 16 40 0 12 2 LIB
Hastings—Lennox and Addington Lib. 42 12 35 0 10 1 LEANS CON
Humber River—Black Creek Lib. 18 10 60 0 8 4 LIB
Huron—Bruce Con. 44 12 33 0 10 2 CON
Kanata—Carleton Lib. 36 6 46 0 10 2 LIB
Kenora Lib. 26 34 28 0 8 3 LEANS NDP
Kingston and the Islands Lib. 22 16 48 0 12 3 LIB
King—Vaughan Lib. 43 6 41 0 8 1 LEANS CON
Kitchener Centre Lib. 28 15 42 0 11 4 LIB
Kitchener South—Hespeler Lib. 33 14 37 0 11 6 LEANS LIB
Kitchener—Conestoga Con. 42 9 34 0 10 5 CON
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Con. 51 16 22 0 10 1 CON
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston Con. 46 13 25 0 12 4 CON
Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes Con. 45 7 33 0 13 2 CON
London North Centre Lib. 28 14 45 0 11 3 LIB
London West Lib. 33 14 38 0 10 4 LEANS LIB
London—Fanshawe NDP 26 37 23 0 10 4 NDP
Markham—Stouffville Lib. 42 5 43 0 9 1 LEANS LIB
Markham—Thornhill Lib. 31 10 50 0 7 3 LIB
Markham—Unionville Con. 47 4 37 0 9 2 CON
Milton Con. 44 11 32 0 9 4 CON
Mississauga Centre Lib. 33 8 48 0 9 1 LIB
Mississauga East—Cooksville Lib. 34 8 48 0 7 3 LIB
Mississauga—Erin Mills Lib. 37 8 44 0 8 2 LEANS LIB
Mississauga—Lakeshore Lib. 37 7 42 0 9 4 LEANS LIB
Mississauga—Malton Lib. 25 12 52 0 8 3 LIB
Mississauga—Streetsville Lib. 40 8 40 0 9 3 TOSS-UP
Nepean Lib. 34 7 45 0 9 5 LIB
Newmarket—Aurora Lib. 40 7 39 0 10 4 LEANS CON
Niagara Centre Lib. 26 30 31 0 9 4 TOSS-UP
Niagara Falls Con. 41 21 26 0 10 2 CON
Niagara West Con. 46 9 23 0 9 13 CON
Nickel Belt Lib. 15 37 36 0 10 2 TOSS-UP
Nipissing—Timiskaming Lib. 27 15 45 0 10 2 LIB
Northumberland—Peterborough South Lib. 36 14 38 0 10 2 LEANS LIB
Oakville Lib. 41 6 42 0 9 2 LEANS LIB
Oakville North—Burlington Lib. 42 6 39 0 8 5 LEANS CON
Orléans Lib. 29 7 54 0 8 1 LIB
Oshawa Con. 36 30 21 0 10 3 LEANS CON
Ottawa Centre Lib. 12 36 37 0 10 5 LEANS LIB
Ottawa South Lib. 22 11 52 0 10 4 LIB
Ottawa West—Nepean Lib. 29 8 47 0 10 6 LIB
Ottawa—Vanier Lib. 17 18 49 0 11 5 LIB
Oxford Con. 43 15 25 0 12 5 CON
Parkdale—High Park Lib. 11 38 37 0 10 5 TOSS-UP
Parry Sound—Muskoka Con. 41 10 30 0 16 3 CON
Perth—Wellington Con. 42 13 28 0 9 8 CON
Peterborough—Kawartha Lib. 33 18 37 0 9 2 LEANS LIB
Pickering—Uxbridge Lib. 36 8 44 0 10 2 LIB
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Con. 40 7 25 0 8 19 CON
Richmond Hill Lib. 41 8 40 0 9 2 LEANS CON
Sarnia—Lambton Con. 40 29 20 0 10 1 CON
Sault Ste. Marie Lib. 29 21 38 0 9 2 LIB
Scarborough Centre Lib. 30 10 44 0 9 6 LIB
Scarborough North Lib. 24 21 43 0 9 4 LIB
Scarborough Southwest Lib. 20 24 45 0 10 2 LIB
Scarborough—Agincourt Lib. 37 7 44 0 8 4 LIB
Scarborough—Guildwood Lib. 25 10 53 0 7 4 LIB
Scarborough—Rouge Park Lib. 25 9 54 0 9 2 LIB
Simcoe North Con. 40 10 33 0 11 5 CON
Simcoe—Grey Con. 45 9 30 0 12 4 CON
Spadina—Fort York Lib. 15 26 48 0 9 2 LIB
St. Catharines Lib. 36 16 36 0 10 2 TOSS-UP
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry Con. 50 7 32 0 9 2 CON
Sudbury Lib. 18 26 42 0 10 4 LIB
Thornhill Con. 57 5 26 0 8 5 CON
Thunder Bay—Rainy River Lib. 21 28 37 0 13 1 LIB
Thunder Bay—Superior North Lib. 13 19 33 0 31 3 LEANS LIB
Timmins—James Bay NDP 18 42 28 0 9 2 NDP
Toronto Centre Lib. 10 25 52 0 10 4 LIB
Toronto—Danforth Lib. 8 39 34 0 12 6 LEANS NDP
Toronto—St. Paul’s Lib. 27 14 48 0 10 1 LIB
University—Rosedale Lib. 15 27 42 0 10 6 LIB
Vaughan—Woodbridge Lib. 42 4 43 0 7 5 TOSS-UP
Waterloo Lib. 29 14 44 0 10 3 LIB
Wellington—Halton Hills Con. 49 8 28 0 12 3 CON
Whitby Lib. 41 9 37 0 9 3 LEANS CON
Willowdale Lib. 35 6 46 0 9 3 LIB
Windsor West NDP 18 50 19 0 9 3 NDP
Windsor—Tecumseh NDP 24 42 21 0 9 3 NDP
York Centre Lib. 42 7 40 0 9 2 LEANS CON
York South—Weston Lib. 18 28 37 0 9 9 LIB
York—Simcoe Con. 50 8 30 0 11 1 CON

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