Projected election results in Ontario

last updated: October 19, 2015 at 6:26 am (Eastern Daylight Time)

Ontario vote projections Ontario seat projections
Conservative  Conservative logo 33.4%

 

36

 

New Democrat  New Democrat logo 18.4%

 

13

 

Liberal  Liberal logo 43.9%

 

72

 

Green  Green logo 3.6%

 

0

 

Other  Other logo 0.6%

 

0

 

Trend line of all polls published for the region of Ontario

last updated: October 19, 2015 at 6:26 am (Eastern Daylight Time)

Ontario riding-by-riding vote projection:

last updated: October 19, 2015 at 6:26 am (Eastern Daylight Time)

Riding name: Notional
incumbent
Con. NDP Lib. Bloc Green Other Projected
winner
 
Ajax Con. 35 8 54 0 3 0 LIB
Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP 23 45 29 0 3 0 NDP
Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Con. 41 10 45 0 3 1 LEANS LIB
Barrie–Innisfil Con. 49 14 31 0 5 0 CON
Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte Con. 40 14 38 0 6 2 LEANS CON
Bay of Quinte Con. 41 16 40 0 3 0 TOSS-UP
Beaches–East York NDP 12 35 49 0 4 0 LIB
Brampton Centre Con. 37 14 44 0 4 0 LEANS LIB
Brampton East NDP 30 19 49 0 2 0 LIB
Brampton North Con. 35 12 49 0 4 0 LIB
Brampton South Con. 34 10 54 0 2 0 LIB
Brampton West Con. 31 12 55 0 1 0 LIB
Brantford–Brant Con. 41 23 33 0 3 0 CON
Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound Con. 42 12 40 0 6 0 LEANS CON
Burlington Con. 39 13 45 0 4 0 LEANS LIB
Cambridge Con. 42 14 40 0 3 0 LEANS CON
Carleton Con. 52 6 38 0 4 0 CON
Chatham-Kent–Leamington Con. 47 20 29 0 3 0 CON
Davenport NDP 7 36 52 0 4 1 LIB
Don Valley East Lib. 24 14 59 0 3 0 LIB
Don Valley North Con. 29 14 56 0 1 0 LIB
Don Valley West Con. 32 3 61 0 3 0 LIB
Dufferin–Caledon Con. 56 8 19 0 16 0 CON
Durham Con. 43 17 35 0 4 1 CON
Eglinton–Lawrence Con. 36 9 52 0 3 0 LIB
Elgin–Middlesex–London Con. 47 17 33 0 3 1 CON
Essex Con. 39 29 29 0 2 0 CON
Etobicoke Centre Con. 29 3 67 0 2 0 LIB
Etobicoke North Lib. 21 15 63 0 0 1 LIB
Etobicoke–Lakeshore Con. 32 13 51 0 4 0 LIB
Flamborough–Glanbrook Con. 44 15 36 0 4 0 CON
Glengarry–Prescott–Russell Con. 38 9 49 0 3 0 LIB
Guelph Lib. 20 13 61 0 5 1 LIB
Haldimand–Norfolk Con. 39 14 44 0 3 1 LEANS LIB
Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock Con. 45 16 34 0 5 0 CON
Hamilton Centre NDP 13 53 32 0 0 1 NDP
Hamilton East–Stoney Creek NDP 27 40 28 0 3 2 NDP
Hamilton Mountain NDP 25 45 26 0 3 1 NDP
Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas Con. 28 16 52 0 4 1 LIB
Hastings–Lennox and Addington Con. 40 18 38 0 4 0 LEANS CON
Humber River–Black Creek Lib. 11 20 67 0 1 1 LIB
Huron–Bruce Con. 46 19 32 0 2 0 CON
Kanata–Carleton Con. 41 8 47 0 4 0 LEANS LIB
Kenora Con. 36 23 38 0 3 0 LEANS LIB
Kingston and the Islands Lib. 22 22 52 0 4 0 LIB
King–Vaughan Con. 45 6 46 0 2 0 TOSS-UP
Kitchener Centre Con. 29 17 49 0 4 1 LIB
Kitchener South–Hespeler Con. 45 20 31 0 4 0 CON
Kitchener–Conestoga Con. 42 13 42 0 4 0 TOSS-UP
Lambton–Kent–Middlesex Con. 43 18 35 0 4 1 CON
Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston Con. 49 11 35 0 5 0 CON
Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes Con. 52 12 32 0 5 0 CON
London North Centre Con. 26 14 55 0 4 0 LIB
London West Con. 34 17 46 0 3 0 LIB
London–Fanshawe NDP 24 43 29 0 3 1 NDP
Markham–Stouffville Con. 38 7 52 0 2 1 LIB
Markham–Thornhill Lib. 24 16 58 0 2 0 LIB
Markham–Unionville Con. 34 10 53 0 3 1 LIB
Milton Con. 42 12 43 0 4 0 TOSS-UP
Mississauga Centre Con. 30 12 56 0 2 0 LIB
Mississauga East–Cooksville Con. 32 11 55 0 2 0 LIB
Mississauga–Erin Mills Con. 35 9 54 0 2 0 LIB
Mississauga–Lakeshore Con. 34 7 57 0 3 0 LIB
Mississauga–Malton Con. 27 15 56 0 2 0 LIB
Mississauga–Streetsville Con. 32 8 56 0 4 0 LIB
Nepean Con. 40 11 46 0 4 0 LEANS LIB
Newmarket–Aurora Con. 44 9 41 0 4 2 LEANS CON
Niagara Centre NDP 33 40 23 0 3 1 LEANS NDP
Niagara Falls Con. 40 21 34 0 4 0 LEANS CON
Niagara West Con. 44 13 35 0 5 2 CON
Nickel Belt NDP 16 46 35 0 2 0 NDP
Nipissing–Timiskaming Lib. 24 13 57 0 5 0 LIB
Northumberland–Peterborough South Con. 46 14 34 0 5 0 CON
Oakville Con. 38 10 49 0 3 0 LIB
Oakville North–Burlington Con. 37 8 52 0 3 0 LIB
Orléans Con. 34 9 55 0 3 0 LIB
Oshawa Con. 44 32 21 0 3 0 CON
Ottawa Centre NDP 17 39 38 0 6 1 LEANS NDP
Ottawa South Lib. 21 12 63 0 3 1 LIB
Ottawa West–Nepean Con. 33 12 51 0 4 0 LIB
Ottawa–Vanier Lib. 17 21 58 0 5 0 LIB
Oxford Con. 52 20 23 0 4 1 CON
Parkdale–High Park NDP 4 37 55 0 3 1 LIB
Parry Sound–Muskoka Con. 45 17 30 0 8 0 CON
Perth–Wellington Con. 39 15 39 0 5 1 TOSS-UP
Peterborough–Kawartha Con. 35 17 44 0 3 0 LIB
Pickering–Uxbridge Con. 35 8 53 0 4 0 LIB
Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke Con. 50 9 19 0 2 20 CON
Richmond Hill Con. 31 12 54 0 4 0 LIB
Sarnia–Lambton Con. 39 24 34 0 3 1 LEANS CON
Sault Ste. Marie Con. 31 26 41 0 2 0 LIB
Scarborough Centre Con. 28 19 50 0 2 0 LIB
Scarborough North NDP 23 27 48 0 2 1 LIB
Scarborough Southwest NDP 22 25 49 0 4 0 LIB
Scarborough–Agincourt Lib. 22 8 68 0 2 0 LIB
Scarborough–Guildwood Lib. 23 19 56 0 2 0 LIB
Scarborough–Rouge Park Lib. 20 23 55 0 2 0 LIB
Simcoe North Con. 48 15 31 0 6 0 CON
Simcoe–Grey Con. 41 12 30 0 5 11 CON
Spadina–Fort York NDP 15 38 42 0 4 1 LEANS LIB
St. Catharines Con. 39 17 40 0 4 1 TOSS-UP
Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry Con. 53 11 34 0 2 0 CON
Sudbury NDP 18 65 14 0 3 1 NDP
Thornhill Con. 48 9 40 0 2 0 CON
Thunder Bay–Rainy River NDP 19 40 39 0 2 0 TOSS-UP
Thunder Bay–Superior North NDP 18 28 34 0 20 0 LEANS LIB
Timmins–James Bay NDP 15 53 31 0 2 0 NDP
Toronto Centre Lib. 4 24 67 0 4 1 LIB
Toronto–Danforth NDP 5 42 45 0 7 1 LEANS LIB
Toronto–St. Paul’s Lib. 22 14 59 0 4 0 LIB
University–Rosedale NDP 14 32 49 0 4 1 LIB
Vaughan–Woodbridge Con. 45 3 49 0 2 0 LEANS LIB
Waterloo Con. 27 14 55 0 4 0 LIB
Wellington–Halton Hills Con. 50 10 34 0 6 0 CON
Whitby Con. 40 11 44 0 4 0 LEANS LIB
Willowdale Con. 31 12 56 0 0 0 LIB
Windsor West NDP 22 51 25 0 3 0 NDP
Windsor–Tecumseh NDP 27 48 21 0 4 0 NDP
York Centre Con. 36 11 51 0 2 0 LIB
York South–Weston NDP 17 31 50 0 2 0 LIB
York–Simcoe Con. 52 12 30 0 5 1 CON


Regional projections & riding-level data

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