Pollster rankings

Angus-Reid

Angus-Reid logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.725 (Rank: 6th of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.818 (Rank: 3rd of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.804 (Rank: 3rd of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.934 (Rank: 3rd of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.820 (Rank: 2nd of 14)
Key figures: Angus Reid
Other remarks: Online polling firm
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Ekos

Ekos logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.448 (Rank: 12th of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.363 (Rank: 12th of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.431 (Rank: 12th of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.408 (Rank: 10th of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.412 (Rank: 12th of 14)
Key figures: Frank Graves
Other remarks: Uses Interactive Voice Response (IVR) methodology
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Harris/Decima

Harris/Decima logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.515 (Rank: 11th of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.452 (Rank: 10th of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.649 (Rank: 5th of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.494 (Rank: 8th of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.527 (Rank: 9th of 14)
Key figures: Allan Gregg
Other remarks: Uses Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing methodology
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Nanos

Nanos logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.612 (Rank: 8th of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.701 (Rank: 4th of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.702 (Rank: 4th of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.752 (Rank: 5th of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.692 (Rank: 5th of 14)
Key figures: Nik Nanos
Other remarks: Uses random telephone dial methodology
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Strategic

Strategic logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.899 (Rank: 2nd of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.625 (Rank: 7th of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.565 (Rank: 7th of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.418 (Rank: 9th of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.627 (Rank: 7th of 14)
Key figures: Christopher Kelly, Allan Gregg
Other remarks: Uses dual online/telephone random dial methodology
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Ipsos-Reid

Ipsos-Reid logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.520 (Rank: 10th of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.632 (Rank: 5th of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.527 (Rank: 11th of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.660 (Rank: 7th of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.585 (Rank: 8th of 14)
Key figures: Gary Bennewies, John Wright
Other remarks: Uses both telephone dialing and online panels
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Léger

Léger logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 1.000 (Rank: 1st of 14)
Average Error Score: 1.000 (Rank: 1st of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 1.000 (Rank: 1st of 14)
Relative Error Score: 1.000 (Rank: 1st of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 1.000 (Rank: 1st of 14)
Key figures: Marcel Léger
Other remarks: Uses both telephone dialing and online panels, held #1 ranking in Canadian pollster accuracy for two years running
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Environics

Environics logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.577 (Rank: 9th of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.501 (Rank: 8th of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.579 (Rank: 6th of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.310 (Rank: 13th of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.492 (Rank: 10th of 14)
Key figures: Michael Adams
Other remarks: Uses both telephone dialing and online panels
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CROP

CROP logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.366 (Rank: 13th of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.392 (Rank: 11th of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.537 (Rank: 9th of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.406 (Rank: 11th of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.425 (Rank: 11th of 14)
Key figures: Alain Giguere, Carlo Bianchini
Other remarks: Publishes more riding-level polls than any other firm, uses random dial telephone methodology (live callers)
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Innovative

Innovative logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.773 (Rank: 5th of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.166 (Rank: 13th of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.244 (Rank: 13th of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.270 (Rank: 14th of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.363 (Rank: 13th of 14)
Key figures: Greg Lyle
Other remarks: Online polling firm
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Abacus

Abacus logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.878 (Rank: 3rd of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.457 (Rank: 9th of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.553 (Rank: 8th of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.740 (Rank: 6th of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.657 (Rank: 6th of 14)
Key figures: David Coletto
Other remarks: Online polling firm
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Forum

Forum logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.861 (Rank: 4th of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.626 (Rank: 6th of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.825 (Rank: 2nd of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.913 (Rank: 4th of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.806 (Rank: 3rd of 14)
Key figures: Lorne Bozinoff
Other remarks: Uses both telephone dialing and online panels
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Compas

Compas logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.000 (Rank: 14th of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.117 (Rank: 14th of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.203 (Rank: 14th of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.341 (Rank: 12th of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.165 (Rank: 14th of 14)
Key figures: Conrad Winn
Other remarks: Uses unusual methodology in their interviews, including asking interviewees whether they know the name of their local candidates
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Probe

Probe logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: N/A N/A (insufficient data)
Average Error Score: N/A N/A (insufficient data)
Weighted Error Score: N/A N/A (insufficient data)
Relative Error Score: N/A N/A (insufficient data)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.795*
Key figures: Scott MacKay, Lloyd Fridfinnson, Christopher Adams
Other remarks: * Provisional score until additional data from polling firm become available
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CRA

CRA logo
Measure of Accuracy: Score:
Consistency Score: 0.622 (Rank: 7th of 14)
Average Error Score: 0.917 (Rank: 2nd of 14)
Weighted Error Score: 0.529 (Rank: 10th of 14)
Relative Error Score: 0.992 (Rank: 2nd of 14)
Overall Pollster Ranking: 0.765 (Rank: 4th of 14)
Key figures: Don Mills
Other remarks: Online polling firm
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